Morning Briefing - June 16, 2025
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June 15, 2025

USAF explores possible Minuteman III development, operations, sustainment program

By ExchangeMonitor

The U.S. Air Force Nuclear Weapons Center may hold an industry day in late August to gauge industry capacity to support a possible intercontinental ballistic missile Development, Operations, and Sustainment program for the Boeing Minuteman III (MMIII).

The industry day would be held at Hill Air Force Base (AFB), Utah. Such a contract would “ensure continued operational readiness, availability, reliability, and maintainability of the MMIII weapon system and associated programs through end of life,” according to a Friday business notice.

“The MMIII weapon system is tracked through a work breakdown structure with about 2,800 individual risk-rated line items listed/monitored with up to 125 product support initiatives tracked annually across approximately 65 working groups,” the notice said.

The Air Force has said that extending the life of the 1970s-era Minuteman III’s long-term is not “viable” and that the service plans to replace the Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) with Sentinel in the 2030s.

In April, a Congressional Budget Office study estimated that Pentagon nuclear modernization would cost at least $946 billion between this year and 2034—a projection that does not include “significant additional increase in costs” that may stem from a restructuring of the program to replace MMIII–the Northrop Grumman LGM-35A Sentinel– and delays that are to come with Air Force efforts to reduce costs after the service notified Congress of a Nunn-McCurdy critical cost breach for Sentinel in January last year. 

Sentinel’s estimated cost has more than doubled to $140 billion, and this month’s annual Government Accountability Office weapons systems assessment said that costs could easily reach $170 billion in fiscal 2025 dollars.

A version of this story first ran in Exchange Monitor affiliate Defense Daily

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